Recent years have brought us a steady stream of financial cheats,
frauds, and scams. Bernard Madoff, of course. Rotting in jail. The guys
who brought us Enron. Rotting in jail. Bernard Ebbers, head of WorldCom.
Rotting in jail. And . . . Uncle Sam?
That's right, our own beloved Uncle Sam is arguably as
guilty of "cooking the books" as any corporate scamster. In fact, if he
were running a publicly-traded company the way he's running the
government, he'd likely be serving time in one of his own prisons!
Here's the issue. Most of us use what's called the "cash"
method of accounting. It's pretty simple, really. Cash comes in, cash
goes out, and at the end of the year there's a difference we call
"profit" or "loss." In Washington, they call those year-end results
"surplus" or "deficit." For fiscal 2010, that deficit was $1.3 trillion,
and our total national debt now stands at $13.9 trillion (give or take a few billion).
But publicly-traded companies and bigger privately-held
businesses are required to use the "accrual" method of accounting. That
method requires them to recognize income and expenses when incurred,
rather than actually paid. It's kind of like recognizing you owe 30
years of mortgage payments the day you buy your house. And according to
the 268-page Financial Report of the U.S. Government (the closest
thing we have to a federal "balance sheet"), if Uncle Sam used the
accrual method, the government's "net operating cost" for 2010 soars all
the way to $2.1 trillion!
Social Security is the classic example of "off books"
federal accounting. Actuaries estimate that over the next 75 years, the
system will spend $8 trillion more in benefits than it takes in from
payroll taxes and interest on the Social Security "trust fund." And
Uncle Sam owes even more for unfunded promises like future Medicare
benefits ($23 trillion), retirement benefits for federal employees and
veterans ($5.7 trillion), environmental cleanup costs ($300 billion),
and loan guarantees related to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac ($600
billion). Those trillion-dollar promises are certainly part of the
federal debt. But you won't find them listed in any official balance
sheet!
What does this all have to do with taxes? Well, regardless
of how we calculate the federal debt, there's only one way to eliminate
it. At some point, the government is going to have spend less than it
makes. And that's going to mean higher taxes. If you're dreading the tax
hikes necessary to close a $1.3 trillion deficit, just imagine what
you'll need to pay to eliminate $2.1 trillion!
That's why we're focusing more
of our practice on tax planning. If we're going to deliver the most
value possible, it's not enough just to look at your finances in
relation to where taxes are now. We have to look at them in relation to
where taxes are going to be. So look to us for more than "just" a tax
return each year.
And remember, we're here for your friends, family, and
colleagues too!
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